In the newly published special report from Structured Credit Investor (SCI), Mark Faulkner, co-founder, Credit Benchmark, investigates how Credit Consensus data can help support growth in SRT activity.
The recent award of the 2022 Nobel memorial prize in Economics to Bernanke, Diamond and Dybvig for their work on banking regulation and liquidity highlights the connection between credit and liquidity, making the point that credit assessments are a form of market information.
The Basic Materials Industry includes Chemicals, Metals, Mining, Forestry and Paper. Output prices for these sectors have been very volatile in the past 12 months, reflecting recent rapid structural changes in the global economy. However, US Basic Materials has shown a recent turning point.
As pandemic-related spending continues to fall, the US Health Care sector is beginning to show credit deterioration.
European Governments are pledging hundreds of billions of Euros in financial aid to power generators and distributors, plus support for consumers facing massive energy price hikes. But an even larger crisis may be lurking in European energy trading, with the FT reporting sector margin requirements as high as €1trillion – vastly in excess of current sector liquidity.
New EU capital rules may lead to a fivefold increase in buyside trading costs, potentially rendering this activity unprofitable. With the risk looming of a less vibrant European capital market, it is necessary for the industry, policy makers and regulators to work collectively on appropriate solutions to ensure European savers are not financially penalised.
Credit Benchmark’s Transition Matrices show that post-COVID credit recovery has been strong across most credit categories, but at the same time a significant number of investment grade firms have started to be subject to multi-notch downgrades.
Credit portfolio managers face spiking interest rates and rising defaults, and contagion from one sector to another is a major concern. Consensus credit aggregates show how credit risk correlations between sectors are changing.
Global Tobacco credit quality has weakened by 3.4% month-on-month. The introduction of stricter tobacco measures globally, as well as COVID-19, all contribute to this change.
The 2022 technology stock meltdown brought widespread financial damage. Markets are repricing the new reality of geopolitical tension, inflation and scarce money. But has the selloff brought opportunities?
Credit Benchmark brings together internal credit risk views from over 40 leading global financial institutions. The contributions are anonymized, aggregated, and published in the form of consensus ratings and aggregate analytics to provide an independent, real-world perspective of credit risk. Risk and investment professionals at banks, insurance companies, asset managers and other financial firms use the data for insights into the unrated, monitoring and alerting within their portfolios, benchmarking, assessing and analyzing trends, and fulfilling regulatory requirements and capital.
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