Government support for UK businesses is due to end in early 2021, leaving many at-risk companies in debt. A significant increase in default rates may be observed as credit becomes less available. New research from Credit Benchmark shows that UK corporates have a ~20% higher chance of defaulting in 2021 compared to a year ago, suggesting that 1 in 150 companies will default this year.
CDS prices are often cited as a proxy for solvency risk. New research shows some large variations between CDS prices and consensus credit risk data for GSIBs.
Bloomberg announced today that it will make Credit Benchmark’s credit risk data—derived from the risk views of the world’s largest financial institutions–available on the Bloomberg
Rating agency downgrades have hit unprecedented levels over the past few months, but the majority of the downgrades have been for companies that were already classed as high yield. Fallen Angels – companies that cross the boundary from Investment Grade to Junk – are still in a minority, as agencies (and their corporate clients) display an understandable reluctance to avoid the “BBB cliff”.
The likelihood of US oil and gas producers defaulting on their debt has jumped 30 per cent over the past year as the industry continues
The Covid19 crisis has exposed the risks in single, long and complex supply chains that are only as strong as their weakest link. Companies are moving
Rating agency downgrades have hit unprecedented levels over the past few months, but the majority of the downgrades have been for companies that were already classed as high yield. Fallen Angels – companies that cross the boundary from Investment Grade to Junk – are still in a minority, as agencies (and their corporate clients) display an understandable reluctance to avoid the “BBB cliff”.
The increasing complexity of global sub-custodial networks means less clarity about where an asset is held – and the credit risk of the legal entity holding it. A new whitepaper by Credit Benchmark maps this interconnectivity and sheds light on hidden potential credit risks within these networks.
To download the May 2020 Oil & Gas Aggregate PDF, click here. . The energy sector remains in a precarious position. Even with a recent
Equity markets have experienced near-record levels of volatility in the past few months and consensus credit risk estimates have also showed major changes recently. This analysis suggests that the link between credit risk and equity markets may be significant, especially in the current environment.
Credit Benchmark brings together internal credit risk views from over 40 leading global financial institutions. The contributions are anonymized, aggregated, and published in the form of consensus ratings and aggregate analytics to provide an independent, real-world perspective of credit risk. Risk and investment professionals at banks, insurance companies, asset managers and other financial firms use the data for insights into the unrated, monitoring and alerting within their portfolios, benchmarking, assessing and analyzing trends, and fulfilling regulatory requirements and capital.
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