Default rates for US Speculative Grade bonds and Leveraged Loans are rising and expected to peak in Q2 2024. This whitepaper examines projected credit default rates for US issuers based on credit consensus data from global banks.
Latest data shows equity and credit volatility ticking up, are downgrades coming? Get insights on the latest market trends and analysis here. Our report covers key indicators and market predictions.
Investors in credit portfolios make extensive use of credit agency ratings and market-driven risk models. But some segments are faced with less visibility and a lack of public ratings, while credit portfolio management models are only as good as the credit risk data available to them. This paper reviews a data-driven framework for portfolio risk analysis and discusses practical applications of consensus credit risk estimates.
The February Monthly Credit Outlook looks at recent credit trends and highlights seen in the consensus dataset. This month, credit risk is elevated but some positive surprises may be possible.
In the newly published special report from Structured Credit Investor (SCI), Mark Faulkner, co-founder, Credit Benchmark, investigates how Credit Consensus data can help support growth in SRT activity.
European Governments are pledging hundreds of billions of Euros in financial aid to power generators and distributors, plus support for consumers facing massive energy price hikes. But an even larger crisis may be lurking in European energy trading, with the FT reporting sector margin requirements as high as €1trillion – vastly in excess of current sector liquidity.
The latest Central Counterparty Clearing House (CCP) monitor produced by Credit Benchmark shows further improvements in credit quality in North American and European CCPs. However, as the monitor demonstrates, CCP member risk does not always reflect that of the CCP itself.
This whitepaper from Credit Benchmark illustrates the global credit trends in the second quarter of 2022. Widening credit spreads show a major shift to a “risk-off” mindset, as supply shocks and rate hikes show no sign of abating. Corporate default rates are likely to spike, and across sectors correlations between default risk are changing. This whitepaper tracks these shifts across many otherwise unrated countries/sectors, as well as illustrating other global trends in Q2 2022.
Risk sharing transactions are a rapidly growing asset class, and have provided attractive returns over the past decade. As corporate credit becomes more unstable, emerging risks – and opportunities – highlight the need for comprehensive credit data for accurate transaction pricing. This paper details how Credit Consensus Ratings and Aggregates provide a detailed map of the credit market risk-reward landscape, including possible anomalies.
For investors in Risk Sharing products, transparency is key. This report uses Credit Consensus Ratings to compare a single bank’s view of a typical risk sharing portfolio with the broader bank peer group view of the same portfolios. This unique dataset can be used for industry trend tracking, portfolio analytics, and single name assessments.
Credit Benchmark brings together internal credit risk views from over 40 leading global financial institutions. The contributions are anonymized, aggregated, and published in the form of consensus ratings and aggregate analytics to provide an independent, real-world perspective of credit risk. Risk and investment professionals at banks, insurance companies, asset managers and other financial firms use the data for insights into the unrated, monitoring and alerting within their portfolios, benchmarking, assessing and analyzing trends, and fulfilling regulatory requirements and capital.
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