Whitepapers

Significant Risk Transfers – Use Case Explainer
The SRT market is large, growing, and complex. Learn how SRT investors are leveraging Credit Benchmark’s bank-sourced default risk estimates to evaluate these transactions, manage portfolio risk and optimize swap structures.
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“Basel Endgame”: Fixed Weight Fault Lines?
This whitepaper uses default risk estimates from global banks to highlight potential fault lines embedded in the new Basel “Endgame” proposals.

Default Rate Forecast for Q3 2024: US and UK Speculative Grade Corporates
Default rates for US and UK Speculative Grade bonds are expected to rise each quarter to a peak in Q3 2024. This whitepaper expands on our recent US Default Rate Forecast, with the addition of UK Corporate default projections.

Default Rate Forecast 2023/24: US Speculative Grade Borrowers and US Leveraged Loans
Default rates for US Speculative Grade bonds and Leveraged Loans are rising and expected to peak in Q2 2024. This whitepaper examines projected credit default rates for US issuers based on credit consensus data from global banks.

Credit Portfolio Risk: Consensus Data Fills in the Blanks
Investors in credit portfolios make extensive use of credit agency ratings and market-driven risk models. But some segments are faced with less visibility and a lack of public ratings, while credit portfolio management models are only as good as the credit risk data available to them. This paper reviews a data-driven framework for portfolio risk analysis and discusses practical applications of consensus credit risk estimates.

Credit Correlations: Avoiding Unnecessary Risks
With default risks expected to rise in 2023, correlations between those risks are increasingly important for credit portfolio management. Exposures to different sectors – that normally diversify the portfolio – may show a simultaneous increase in risk during difficult economic conditions. This paper shows how Consensus credit data can be used to estimate credit correlations between regions, countries, industries, and sectors.

Credit Consensus Ratings and Risk Sharing Portfolios
Risk sharing transactions are a rapidly growing asset class, and have provided attractive returns over the past decade. As corporate credit becomes more unstable, emerging risks – and opportunities – highlight the need for comprehensive credit data for accurate transaction pricing. This paper details how Credit Consensus Ratings and Aggregates provide a detailed map of the credit market risk-reward landscape, including possible anomalies.