Insights

This whitepaper from Credit Benchmark illustrates the global credit trends in the second quarter of 2022. Widening credit spreads show a major shift to a “risk-off” mindset, as supply shocks and rate hikes show no sign of abating. Corporate default rates are likely to spike, and across sectors correlations between default risk are changing. This whitepaper tracks these shifts across many otherwise unrated countries/sectors, as well as illustrating other global trends in Q2 2022.

The 2022 technology stock meltdown brought widespread financial damage. Markets are repricing the new reality of geopolitical tension, inflation and scarce money. But has the selloff brought opportunities?

A growing list of countries have already seen Sovereign ratings slide in the past two years due to COVID costs; some now face a real risk of outright default as the war in Ukraine drives food, fertilizer and energy prices higher.

Consumers are focusing on essential purchases and spending less time at home, and UK and EU broadline retailers are feeling the squeeze. Both groups show recent deterioration against a global trend of improvement.

Semiconductor supplies have not yet recovered from COVID disruption. This has caused problems for many industries, but the impact is becoming acute for manufacturers of automobiles and parts, as well as online car dealers and car rental companies.