Leverage Loans: Morningstar LSTA and Issuer Consensus Credit Index
After a stellar performance over the past 12 months, the Leveraged Loan total return index is diverging from its respective credit indices.
June 26, 2023
After a stellar performance over the past 12 months, the Leveraged Loan total return index is diverging from its respective credit indices.
Warning signs continue to flash in US Commercial Real Estate, with Industrial & Office sectors worst affected by the persistence of hybrid working. However, Credit Benchmark data shows various US REITs currently with a positive credit outlook.
The June Monthly Credit Outlook looks at recent credit trends and highlights seen in the consensus dataset. This month, Global Corporates, Financials and Sovereigns all show net downgrades.
Latest Credit Benchmark data shows that the credit rating of a country’s financial system is heavily influenced by that of the Sovereign, and, in countries with the strongest credit, the Financial sector is stronger than the Corporate sector.
Is AI all promise, no profit? The Economist suggests equity markets are unconvinced as to the immediate value of AI tech. In credit terms, AI-focused firms are outperforming other Global Tech firms; keeping pace with Global Corporates.
The March Monthly Credit Outlook looks at recent credit trends and highlights seen in the consensus dataset. This month, stubborn inflation risks steeper global credit deterioration.
Consensus credit data can fill CDS market gaps for CVA calculations. This insight links real-world PDs to “Synthetic CDS” estimates for unrated, private counterparts.
The latest whitepaper from Credit Benchmark illustrates global credit trends in the first quarter of 2023. The credit optimism of early 2023 has faded with the latest data suggesting a gradual but broad decline in global credit. US regional banks have shown extensive deterioration, though negative movement has paused for their larger counterparts. Global REITs, Mutual Funds, Hedge Funds, US Technology and Telecomms all showing net deterioration.
Recent bank failures and mergers have uncovered transatlantic tensions in the global banking sector. This data at a glance looks at US and EU Banks sectors. Average default risk for US Banks deteriorated for much of H2 2022 ahead of recent volatility. EU Banks default risk has been steadily improving.
Investors in credit portfolios make extensive use of credit agency ratings and market-driven risk models. But some segments are faced with less visibility and a lack of public ratings, while credit portfolio management models are only as good as the credit risk data available to them. This paper reviews a data-driven framework for portfolio risk analysis and discusses practical applications of consensus credit risk estimates.
Credit Benchmark brings together internal credit risk views from over 40 leading global financial institutions. The contributions are anonymized, aggregated, and published in the form of consensus ratings and aggregate analytics to provide an independent, real-world perspective of credit risk. Risk and investment professionals at banks, insurance companies, asset managers and other financial firms use the data for insights into the unrated, monitoring and alerting within their portfolios, benchmarking, assessing and analyzing trends, and fulfilling regulatory requirements and capital.
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