Fallen Angels and Rising Stars: Credit Volatility Persists
Credit volatility remains in the picture for global corporates. The latest consensus data show increases in both the number of Fallen Angels – companies that have seen their credit scores fall from investment-grade to high-yield status – and Rising Stars – companies that have risen from high-yield to investment grade.
Credit Trends: Focus on Australia
Australia has so far weathered the Covid storm in reasonable shape, and is one of the few Sovereigns rated AAA by the three largest traditional rating agencies. A credit consensus rating of aa+ reflects a slightly more cautious Bank view. This research analyses a number of Australian industries, sectors and companies to demonstrate the Covid effect on national credit quality comparative to global trends.
Global Credit Recovery Gathers Pace
As vaccine rollout varies globally, it is clear that the economic bounceback from Covid will be led by the largest and most developed economies. Overall vaccination figures show that the global pandemic is far from over; but trends in the credit consensus are already giving some clues to the shape of the expected global economic recovery.
Ongoing Chip Issues Cloud Outlook for US, UK Auto Sectors: July 2021
The worst of the pandemic-related challenges may have passed but continued improvement for the US auto sector may be under threat unless supply chain problems ease.
The UK is seeing similar problems as credit for auto firms deteriorates, and lingering concerns about Brexit remain.
Energy Sector Credit Quality Enters Wait-and-See Mode: July 2021
Monthly changes in credit quality outlook for the energy sector were muted this month, with the US seeing some improvement and the UK seeing some deterioration in credit. The EU energy sector is stable.
July 2021 Financial Counterpart Monitor
The Financial Counterpart Monitor from Credit Benchmark provides a unique analysis of the changing creditworthiness of financial institutions.
July 2021 Industry Monitor
Credit Benchmark have released the latest end-month industry update, based on the final and complete set of the contributed credit risk estimates from 40+ global financial institutions.
UK Retail Holds Steady: July 2021
Stability is the current trend for the UK retail sector though challenges for the sector remain. US retail continues on a slow and steady path to improvement.
Sector Risks Revealed in Fallen Angels and Rising Stars
The Fallen Angels and Rising Stars Monthly Monitor reflects shifts to and from investment-grade and high-yield status for global corporates. While corporate credit risk has been improving across many industries, data from individual sectors may provide a clearer picture of trends in the months ahead.
July Credit Consensus Indicators (CCIs) – UK, EU and US Industrials
Credit Benchmark have released the July 2021 Credit Consensus Indicators (CCIs). The latest data on US Industrials provides further evidence that the sector may be on the mend, while scores for the UK and EU have been dipping in and out of positive and negative territory.
