All Reports, News & Insights Archives
2024/25 Default Risk Outlook: UK Industries
Credit Benchmark’s new 2024/25 Default Risk Outlook for UK Industries predicts UK default risks to plateau in next 12 months; Basic Materials, Telecoms and Technology predicted to show >10% increase in default risk by Q2 2025.
Prolonged Credit Turbulence for Global Airlines
Air travel is currently running at about 50% of its pre-pandemic peak and the sector still faces uncertainty from new virus variants, patchy tourism traffic and a shift in business travel norms. While many Global Airlines are unrated by traditional agencies, consensus credit risk data shows that 80% of the sector is below investment grade – but some remain good credit risks.
August Credit Consensus Indicators (CCIs) – UK, EU and US Industrials
Credit Benchmark have released the August 2021 Credit Consensus Indicators (CCIs). There is reason for optimism in the latest CCI data. Scores for the UK, EU, and US are all above 50.
Credit Strength Dampens Wildfire Risk for US Electricity Firms
Wildfires are growing in intensity and frequency, and in the US are sometimes attributed to outdated electricity infrastructure, presenting a legal hurdle for companies in the sector. Addressing these issues requires investment, and companies with stronger credit ratings are better placed to fund the necessary capital spending. This note looks at the credit profile and recent trends for 371 US electricity companies.
Fallen Angels and Rising Stars: Credit Volatility Persists
Credit volatility remains in the picture for global corporates. The latest consensus data show increases in both the number of Fallen Angels – companies that have seen their credit scores fall from investment-grade to high-yield status – and Rising Stars – companies that have risen from high-yield to investment grade.
Credit Trends: Focus on Australia
Australia has so far weathered the Covid storm in reasonable shape, and is one of the few Sovereigns rated AAA by the three largest traditional rating agencies. A credit consensus rating of aa+ reflects a slightly more cautious Bank view. This research analyses a number of Australian industries, sectors and companies to demonstrate the Covid effect on national credit quality comparative to global trends.
Global Credit Recovery Gathers Pace
As vaccine rollout varies globally, it is clear that the economic bounceback from Covid will be led by the largest and most developed economies. Overall vaccination figures show that the global pandemic is far from over; but trends in the credit consensus are already giving some clues to the shape of the expected global economic recovery.
