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Credit Spotlight on Global Oil & Gas
Credit risk was volatile for Global Oil & Gas producers in 2024 and global supply is expected to exceed demand in 2025, subject to strong geopolitical influences. This analysis from Credit Benchmark reviews global credit trends across a range of Oil & Gas sectors with a view to the year ahead.
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Supply Chain Crisis: Food Producers Credit Trends
Global food prices are at a 10-year high, pushed up by the pandemic. With climate change a growing issue, prices are likely to stay raised. Consensus credit data shows food producers have weathered COVID well, with many rated higher than the major credit rating agencies and continuing to improve.
Rising Interest Rates and Credit Upgrades
With a potential UK interest rate hike on the cards, a growing number of central banks are seeing inflation as a key near-term risk to economic stability. With net credit upgrades currently in balance, and a growing number of countries imposing monetary tightening, there is a risk that the global net credit balance turns sharply negative.
Fallen Angels and Rising Stars: October 2021
Consensus data show ongoing shuffling within corporate credit, but the balance is slightly in favour of Rising Stars as a growing number of firms see their credit status shift from high-yield to investment-grade.
Restaurants & Bars: US Recovery Pulls Ahead of UK
The hospitality industry has suffered from prolonged closures, reduced capacity, supply issues and staff shortages during COVID, damaging an already low margin business. For the UK, Brexit has magnified these effects. Analysis of consensus credit data shows a disparity in recovery between the US and UK.
Credit Quality Continues Upwards Momentum in US, UK Auto Sectors: September 2021
The positive credit movement witnessed in other industries like retail and energy can also be seen in the US auto sector. Credit quality continues to improve and risk continues to decline. In addition to the overall economic picture improving, demand remains robust. The same is largely true for the UK sector.
Sovereign Credit Risk and the Cost of COVID
A potential US Government shutdown is focusing attention on Sovereign credit risk, with a risk to US Treasury bond payments. A missed payment would be a major market event, but the broader issue is how Governments around the world handle the cost of COVID. The latest consensus data examines credit risk trends for Global Sovereign Governments, plus compares consensus vs CRA ratings for 12 major economies.
