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Global Oil & Gas

Credit Spotlight on Global Oil & Gas

Credit risk was volatile for Global Oil & Gas producers in 2024 and global supply is expected to exceed demand in 2025, subject to strong geopolitical influences. This analysis from Credit Benchmark reviews global credit trends across a range of Oil & Gas sectors with a view to the year ahead.

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Q3 2022 Credit Review: Inflation and Credit Risk: Close to Boiling Point

Inflation dominated Q3 financial news, and the resulting short rate squeeze is biting while credit volatility is rising and the COVID recovery is running out of steam. Risk indicators are high in the UK, and oil and gas price volatility has brought havoc to Europe. In North America, weaker credit trends are appearing in several sectors. Believe it or not, there are some bright spots amidst this turmoil. This whitepaper elaborates on some of these trends and shows where credit could be headed next.

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Business Development Companies (BDCs)

The Business Development Company sector in the US has grown steadily over the past 20 years. While BDCs allow retail investors to gain liquid exposure to portfolios of private companies, their historically high returns have been dented recently by some steep falls in valuations and – in some cases – discounts to net asset values.

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October Credit Consensus Indicators (CCIs) – UK, EU and US Industrials
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October Credit Consensus Indicators (CCIs) – UK, EU and US Industrials

UK Industrial firms are in a positive position for the fourth time this month, suggesting a trend of improvement is forming. EU Industrial firms have registered another positive CCI for this month, which is the thirteenth consecutive instance of a positive score. Consensus opinion on credit quality for US Industrial firms is still in positive territory, although their CCI score has significantly decreased from last month.

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