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Credit Spotlight on Global Oil & Gas
Credit risk was volatile for Global Oil & Gas producers in 2024 and global supply is expected to exceed demand in 2025, subject to strong geopolitical influences. This analysis from Credit Benchmark reviews global credit trends across a range of Oil & Gas sectors with a view to the year ahead.
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North American REITs: Industrial & Office Deteriorating
Global property is at a crossroads. The build-to-rent sector is strengthening as urban rents spike across the world, but rising mortgage rates are hitting starter and family home markets. In the corporate world, North American Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) have improved since early 2021, but Industrial & Office REITs are showing signs of turning down as hybrid working persists.
November Credit Consensus Indicators (CCIs) – UK, EU and US Oil & Gas
Credit Benchmark have released the November 2022 Credit Consensus Indicators (CCIs). US Oil & Gas firms have put a recent negative blip behind them with another month of positive credit quality, while UK and EU firms also continue to enjoy net credit improvement.
COVID Recovery: Running Out of Steam
The COVID outbreak led to widespread and rapid credit deterioration across multiple sectors; the subsequent recovery has been slower but has reversed much of the decline as economies have re-opened. But with war, supply shocks, inflation and rising rates, the improvement across multiple sectors has stalled and a growing number of them are turning down again.
October 2022 Industry Monitor
Credit Benchmark have released the latest end-month industry update, based on the final and complete set of the contributed credit risk estimates from 40+ global financial institutions.
October 2022 Financial Counterpart Monitor
The Financial Counterpart Monitor from Credit Benchmark provides a unique analysis of the changing creditworthiness of financial institutions.
Credit Volatility: Defaults Set to Rise, Africa and UK at Risk
Many credit portfolio managers expect default rates – currently around 2% – to be sharply higher in 2023, but the scale of the increase is still a major unknown. A useful metric to anticipate rising defaults is credit volatility – if this trends higher, credit category transition rates will increase, including transitions into default.
