Search Results for: inflation

Inflation dominated Q3 financial news, and the resulting short rate squeeze is biting while credit volatility is rising and the COVID recovery is running out of steam. Risk indicators are high in the UK, and oil and gas price volatility has brought havoc to Europe. In North America, weaker credit trends are appearing in several sectors. Believe it or not, there are some bright spots amidst this turmoil. This whitepaper elaborates on some of these trends and shows where credit could be headed next.

The latest whitepaper from Credit Benchmark illustrates the global credit trends in the first quarter of 2022. With global growth rebounding strongly at the start of 2022, consensus credit trends mirrored this recovery across a broad range of sectors. But as inflation grows and interest rates look likely to jump, will heavily indebted companies drive credit defaults higher?

Growing commodity exports may see African sovereign default risk improve by 10%+ in next year, according to Credit Benchmark’s credit risk forecast.

Credit Benchmark’s consensus dataset reflects historical economic upheaval through clear global credit cycles. Sector-level “leaders and laggards” within a cycle can be used in portfolio management to model transition matrix changes and provide valuable insights into the future credit profiles of sector exposures.

Global transportation firms face higher risk of default if geopolitical tensions persist. Future credit trends for global transportation firms can appear months in advance in Credit Benchmark’s credit consensus dataset.